The Average Income to buy a Home in the GTA is how Much?

When my wife and I bought our home, we made the decision to not to go over $450K. We were approved for much more (like $1 million plus), but it was just way outside of our comfort zone. Even though we had a huge down payment, we just didn’t feel comfortable borrowing a ton of money just to own a home. More importantly, we didn’t want to be house poor. We enjoy our lives too much as it is.

We chose not to spend more than three times of our income on our home, but the reality is unless you’re willing to make sacrifices, the home you buy will most likely cost much more than that. So if you can’t simply use a multiplier how do you come with a number?

Toronto Bloor Street

Understand your gross debt service ratio

Just about every lender these days uses a Gross Debt Service Ratio (GDS) to figure out how much you can reasonably afford. The number is determined by adding up all your expenses (current loans + anticipated mortgage, utilities, property taxes) and then dividing them by your household income.

A ratio of 32% determines how much debt you can afford to carry. So generally speaking, if no more than ⅓ of your income is spent servicing debt (your mortgage and any other loans), then you should be able to afford it comfortably. Personally, I think this ratio should apply to after-tax income, yet I’ve seen some lenders base it on gross income. That makes no sense to me since the only money we have to spend is what we have left after paying taxes.

To put these numbers in perspective. TheRedPin looked at average real estate prices in the GTA and found out how much income a couple needs to afford them based on a GDS of 32%. The results are a bit ummm eye-opening.

GTA Wide Home Chart

Are those realistic numbers?

Well, it depends on who you ask. The above figures are based on the GDS ratio of 32% so if you have the income, there’s a good chance lenders will loan you the money. In fact, you’ll technically be able to afford even more when you factor in your down payment.

Now do I personally think the GDS is a realistic ratio to determine home affordability? Not at all. What the GDS doesn’t consider is the cost of life. I’m not talking about groceries and entertainment. I’m more concerned about long-term things such as taking a vacation, saving for retirement, and the ability to afford kids in the future.

The GDS determined that I could reasonably afford a detached home at close to a million dollars, but when I ran my own numbers, I just couldn’t make them add up. There was just no realistic way I would be able to afford a home and continue having the same lifestyle. I’m already a pretty modest person, so I can’t imagine what some people are willing to do just to become homeowners. Heck, look at this couple who was featured in The Financial Post – they have a high income and just a 28% GDS yet they’re still struggling with their bills.

Final word

So how do you determine what you can really afford? Rob Carrick’s Total Debt Service + Savings Ratio calculator is probably the best way to figure it out. Don’t forget, you also need to consider interest rates, they’ll go up eventually, so make sure you’ve built a buffer for yourself.

Disclosure: I used the services of TheRedPin when I bought my home

By |2016-12-06T23:45:19+00:00September 8th, 2016|Personal Finance, Real Estate|

8 Comments

  1. Ken Ku September 8, 2016 at 7:45 am - Reply

    Kids are expensive. Day care, after school activities, etc., really add up. Something has to give. I don’t think too many people get 10% raises every year.

    • Barry Choi September 8, 2016 at 9:27 am - Reply

      Ken,

      Yes many parents only think about their current situation. Rarely do people think about the future such as kids which you mentioned or even increasing interest rates.

  2. Des September 8, 2016 at 7:47 am - Reply

    As someone who’s going through this right now (the budgeting-for-a-home-thing) do you think the 3x income is a good benchmark? I know it’ll end up being less than maxing out our GDS ratio, but for some reason it still feels like a really big number.

  3. Sarah @ Couple of Sense September 12, 2016 at 4:52 pm - Reply

    Very fascinating. I just plugged in some numbers for my pay alone and got a little nervous. Our numbers are out of whack recently as we might be losing some income so we are trying to survive off of 1 person’s pay for the next little bit. Using that takes me up to 40% with no savings but we have been living in the house for 3 years and we have to make it work since I refuse to sell. Thanks for sharing.

    • Barry Choi September 12, 2016 at 5:02 pm - Reply

      Sarah,

      This is mainly a Toronto (and Vancouver) problem, so if you’re outside of those cities, you should be good.

      • Sarah @ Couple of Sense September 13, 2016 at 7:56 am - Reply

        30 minutes north of Toronto but I’m impacted for sure. Townhouses are selling for $750K here. Up from about $400K 5 years ago. Insane.

  4. Peter November 11, 2016 at 6:19 pm - Reply

    So, going by your chart in the article, if you were approved for a million dollar home, then your income must be $165K+. What is your advice for the average income earner making $60k? Buying a home worth 3x annual salary isn’t an option in TO, and it seems pretty unlikely in most cities in Canada.

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